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CBN warns Nigerians of aggressive monetary policies that could further affect its currency

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After meeting with President Bola Tinubu to discuss ways to increase dollar liquidity on the official market, Nigeria’s acting governor announced on Monday that the central bank plans to take actions that will have an impact on currency markets in the coming days.

Folashodun Shonubi, the acting governor of the central bank, met with Tinubu after the bank on Friday disclosed a $19 billion commitment in derivatives for 2022, which is almost the same amount as the nation’s reserves.

 

However, the acting governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, Fola Shonubi, reportedly warned speculators of probable losses as they adopt a new policy to stabilize the exchange rate, according to Nairametrics, a Nigerian business news publication.

 

The acting governor claims that the apex bank has developed a future policy that will eliminate differences between official and black market rates. As demand continued to outpace supply, the black market pricing dropped as low as N950 to $1 last week. The official exchange rate was often N765 to 1 USD.

 

“Mr. President was very concerned or is very very concerned about some of the goings on in the foreign exchange market and one of the things we discussed was what could be done to stabilize and improve the liquidity in the market,” the acting CBN governor relayed.

 

“And also, the goings on in the other markets including the parallel markets, he is concerned about its impact on the average person. Unfortunately, a lot of activities that we do which are purely local are still referenced to exchange rates in the parallel market,” he added.

 

Speaking further on the subject, the acting CBN governor continued, stating, “We’ve discussed and I’ve shared with him what we’re doing to improve the supply, if you look at the official market you find that that market has been fairly stable and the spreads of the difference have not fluctuated as much we do not believe that the changes going on in the parallel market is driven by pure economic demand and supply but are topped by speculative demand from people.”

 

He added, “Some of the plans and strategies which I’m not at liberty to share with you may sooner rather than later cost the speculators, so they should be careful because we believe the things we are doing when they come to fruition may result in significant losses to them.”

 

The largest economy in Africa is seeking for methods to strengthen its financial position and stop the devaluation of its currency, which has reached record lows on the black market two months after trading restrictions were lifted on the official market.

 

Under suspended governor Godwin Emefiele, the central bank had been propping the naira and had enacted a number of restrictions to keep the currency artificially strong, according to a report by the American news agency, Reuters.

 

At his inauguration in May, Tinubu attacked Emefiele’s management of the naira. On June 9, he removed the governor of the central bank and loosened trading restrictions, which caused the naira to lose more than a third of its value.

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Naira surges strong against Dollar, hits N750.15 in Forex rally

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In a robust display, Nigeria’s currency, the Naira, surged ahead against the US Dollar at the foreign exchange market on Monday, maintaining its upward trajectory.

Official data from FMDQ revealed a noteworthy appreciation as the Naira strengthened to N750.15 against the Dollar at the close of Monday’s trading, marking an impressive gain of N40.75 compared to Friday’s exchange rate of N791.25/$1.

Simultaneously, the parallel market experienced a surge, with rates climbing to N1,130/$1 on Monday from the previous N1,140 on Friday.

Dayyabu Mistila, a Bureau De Change operator in Wuse Zone 4 Abuja, verified the uptick, confirming sales at N1,130 and purchases at N1,140 on Friday.

This surge follows a remarkable N31.23 gain recorded on Wednesday, defying October’s inflation hike in Nigeria, as reported by DAILY POST.

As the Naira continues its winning streak, all eyes turn to the upcoming economic roadmap presentation by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, at the annual Bankers’ Dinner of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria on Friday, 25th November, 2023.

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Rice prices soar by 37% as Nigeria grapples with growing supply gap

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Rice prices soar by 37% as Nigeria grapples with growing supply gap

A substantial 37% surge in the market cost of rice has left the staple food in short supply, intensifying concerns over the widening annual supply gap. The AFEX Wet Season Crop Production Report for 2023 reveals that the availability drop has resulted in a staggering two million metric tonnes increase in the supply deficit each year.

The report states, “Rice consumption in Nigeria has been steadily increasing, nearly matching the annual population growth projection of 2.6 per cent at two per cent. This has led to a supply gap of about 2 million metric tonnes annually.”

Nigeria, once Africa’s top rice producer in 2021, with an output of 8.3 million metric tons, now faces challenges due to surging consumption rates. Despite potential net rice export capabilities, the country has spent over $15 billion in the past decade to meet its escalating rice consumption.

The Rice Outlook report by the U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts Nigeria’s importation of 2.1 million metric tons of rice in 2024, potentially making the nation the world’s leading rice buyer. This follows the recent decision by the Federal Government to lift the ban on rice importation.

While the ban was in place, imports plummeted by 98.4% between January and July 2022. The increase in rice prices is attributed to production setbacks caused by flooding and the repercussions of global market dynamics.

Factors contributing to the global rice price surge include India’s ban on rice exports, the world’s second-largest rice exporter, and potential production impact from El Nino in key regions. Rain-induced disruptions and quality variations during Vietnam’s summer-autumn harvest have further fueled the price hike. The report anticipates a 4% increase in rice production with an additional 32% rise in the price of paddy rice.

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Public schools empty, banks closed in Osun as NLC, TUC members protest

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Public schools empty, banks closed in Osun as NLC, TUC members protest

The nationwide strike declared by the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and the Trade Union Congress (TUC) has taken its toll in Osogbo, Osun State, with public school students sent home and banks opting to remain closed.

 

Observations by the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) revealed a significant impact on public schools, where students were seen leaving various primary and secondary schools and heading home. At CAC Grammar School, Gbodofon, Osogbo, the school gate stood wide open, allowing students to exit, while teachers gathered under a tree for discussions.

 

In tandem with the strike’s influence, several banks in Osogbo chose not to open their doors to customers, with some displaying hesitation and a few engaging in business transactions. The state secretariat in Abere witnessed a notable decline in activity, as most offices appeared deserted, and only a limited number of workers were observed within the premises.

 

A confidential source from the secretariat acknowledged that the strike had yet to fully materialize, highlighting the absence of the usual barricades by members of the NLC and other unions. Security personnel were strategically stationed at the entrance of the secretariat and other key locations in Osogbo.

 

Modupeola Oyedele, the Osun State NLC Caretaker Chairperson, confirmed to NAN that the strike adheres to directives from the NLC and TUC headquarters. She emphasized that the primary instruction was for workers to abstain from work without engaging in street protests.

 

“We are not doing street protest with the strike. The instruction is for workers to abstain from work and we are complying.

 

Public schools have sent back their students in compliance with the strike.

 

Many send their students back this morning because the strike directive came late last night, so that is why students were turned back after getting to school.

 

We are ensuring that there is compliance as our officials are at the state secretariat to ensure workers do not resume in their offices,” Oyedele explained.

 

The strike directive, issued on Monday evening by the labour unions, was met with resistance from the government, which deemed it illegal.

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